Mulya.ai
Ticker
DDOG
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.294
Beta (levered) ?1.327
Terminal OM% ?27.8%
Segment conc. ?diversified
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 54.4%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

DDOG · Datadog, Inc.

$120.362026-05-17
Sector: Technology; Industry: Software - Application; Sub-Industry: Application Software

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$83
-30.8% vs market
Base · active
$64
-47.0% vs market
Bear
$38
-68.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $38
Base $64
Bull $83
Market $120
Median $180
Market Price $120
Mulya.ai Base $64
Analysts Median $180
Mulya.ai IV range ($38 · $83)
Analysts Range ($105 · $215)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$1.0B-1.9%0.0%−$22MM−$247MM−$269MM9.2%-6.9%$313MM$-0.06
2022.Q4$1.7B62.8%-3.5%0.0%−$77MM−$287MM−$364MM9.8%-18.9%$504MM$-0.14
2023.Q4$2.1B27.1%-1.6%19.4%−$27MM−$101MM−$128MM9.5%-6.5%$331MM$0.13
2024.Q4$2.7B26.1%1.0%9.9%$25MM$227MM$252MM10.1%9.8%$171MM$0.50
2025.Q4$3.4B27.7%-0.7%15.2%−$19MM−$205MM−$224MM10.2%-4.4%$701MM$0.29
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 12.1%
2026.Q4$4.1B+20.1%-1.3%15.7%−$46MM−$144MM−$190MM10.0%−$173MM-5.9%$845MM$-0.12
2027.Q4$4.9B+19.4%2.3%16.1%$96MM−$172MM−$76MM9.9%−$63MM10.3%$1.0B$0.27445.8
2028.Q4$5.9B+19.6%6.0%16.6%$292MM−$213MM$79MM9.7%$59MM26.0%$1.2B$0.82146.8
2029.Q4$6.4B+9.3%9.6%17.1%$511MM−$124MM$387MM9.6%$266MM39.5%$1.4B$1.4483.6
2030.Q4$7.3B+13.9%13.3%17.6%$798MM−$210MM$588MM9.4%$370MM54.7%$1.6B$2.2453.7
Term. Yr+$11.2B4.1%27.8%20.0%$2.5B−$188MM$2.3B8.6%$20.9B54.4%
Active scenario IV: $64 (-47.0% vs market)