Mulya.ai
Ticker
DDOG
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?11.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.553
Beta (levered) ?1.569
Terminal OM% ?28.5%
Segment conc. ?diversified
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 80.6%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

DDOG · Datadog, Inc.

$239.772026-07-21
Sector: Technology; Industry: Software - Application; Sub-Industry: Application Software

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Leases factored
Bull
$94
-60.9% vs market
Base · active
$78
-67.4% vs market
Bear
$42
-82.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $42
Base $78
Bull $94
Median $225
Market $240
Market Price $240
Mulya.ai Base $78
Analysts Median $225
Mulya.ai IV range ($42 · $94)
Analysts Range ($139 · $305)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$2.1B0.1%9.1%$1MM−$248MM−$247MM10.8%0.3%$449MM$0.13
2024.Q4$2.1B0.0%0.1%9.9%$1MM−$235MM−$234MM10.1%0.3%$432MM$0.13
2025.Q1$2.7B26.1%2.0%12.6%$47MM$473MM$520MM11.4%17.3%$116MM$0.50
2025.Q4$2.7B0.0%2.0%15.2%$46MM$384MM$430MM10.2%40.4%$112MM$0.50
2026.Q1$3.7B36.8%0.0%12.0%$1MM−$230MM−$229MM11.3%0.4%$448MM$0.3773464.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 13.2%
2027.Q1$4.6B+25.6%0.0%12.8%$2MM−$121MM−$119MM10.9%−$108MM0.3%$569MM$-0.07
2028.Q1$5.6B+21.4%4.1%13.6%$198MM−$133MM$65MM10.7%$53MM31.2%$702MM$0.39614.8
2029.Q1$6.7B+19.3%8.2%14.4%$467MM−$154MM$312MM10.5%$230MM59.9%$856MM$1.04230.5
2030.Q1$7.6B+13.5%12.2%15.2%$785MM−$136MM$650MM10.2%$435MM85.0%$992MM$1.81132.5
2031.Q1$8.6B+13.8%16.3%16.0%$1.2B−$168MM$1.0B10.0%$615MM109.7%$1.2B$2.7686.9
Term. Yr+$13.2B4.1%28.5%20.0%$3.0B−$152MM$2.8B8.6%$24.7B80.6%
Active scenario IV: $78 (-67.4% vs market)