CVNA · Carvana Co.
$313.552026-05-17Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Auto - Dealerships; Sub-Industry: Automotive Retail
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$832
+165.4% vs market
Base · active
$356
+13.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($147 · $832) Analysts Range ($320 · $550) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $12.8B | — | -0.8% | 0.0% | −$104MM | −$2.5B | −$2.6B | 18.8% | — | -2.1% | $4.9B | $-0.60 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $13.6B | 6.2% | -11.0% | 0.0% | −$1.5B | −$1.1B | −$2.5B | 17.2% | — | -24.9% | $7.0B | $-7.04 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $10.8B | -20.8% | -0.7% | 14.3% | −$69MM | $882MM | $813MM | 16.4% | — | -1.1% | $5.6B | $2.00 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $13.7B | 26.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% | $1.0B | $46MM | $1.1B | 16.8% | — | 19.6% | $4.7B | $0.93 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $20.3B | 48.6% | 9.3% | 45.0% | $1.0B | −$512MM | $524MM | 18.1% | — | 32.1% | $1.7B | $6.24 | 37.6 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 14.7% |
| 2026.Q4 | $26.7B | +31.6% | 9.3% | 42.5% | $1.4B | −$69MM | $1.4B | 16.6% | $1.2B | 80.0% | $1.8B | $6.32 | 49.6 |
| 2027.Q4 | $32.9B | +23.1% | 10.5% | 40.0% | $2.1B | −$94MM | $2.0B | 15.8% | $1.5B | 111.0% | $1.9B | $9.17 | 34.2 |
| 2028.Q4 | $39.9B | +21.3% | 11.7% | 37.5% | $2.9B | −$181MM | $2.7B | 15.0% | $1.8B | 145.5% | $2.1B | $12.91 | 24.3 |
| 2029.Q4 | $46.0B | +15.1% | 12.9% | 35.0% | $3.8B | $0MM | $3.8B | 14.2% | $2.2B | 183.7% | $2.1B | $17.03 | 18.4 |
| 2030.Q4 | $53.0B | +15.3% | 15.3% | 32.5% | $5.5B | $0MM | $5.5B | 13.4% | $2.7B | 261.0% | $2.1B | $24.19 | 13.0 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $83.1B | 4.1% | 15.3% | 20.0% | $10.1B | −$1.8B | $8.4B | 8.6% | $54.9B | 23.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $356 (+13.5% vs market)