CVNA · Carvana Co.
$62.312026-07-21Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Auto - Dealerships; Sub-Industry: Automotive Retail
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$266
+326.9% vs market
Base · active
$113
+80.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($47 · $266) Analysts Range ($88 · $537) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2024.Q1 | $10.8B | — | -0.7% | 5.1% | −$76MM | $502MM | $426MM | 17.1% | — | -1.3% | $5.7B | $0.61 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $10.8B | 0.0% | -0.7% | 0.0% | −$81MM | $46MM | −$35MM | 16.8% | — | -1.6% | $4.7B | $0.61 | — |
| 2025.Q1 | $13.7B | 26.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% | $1.0B | $27MM | $1.0B | 17.4% | — | 21.1% | $4.8B | $0.28 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $13.7B | 0.0% | 7.3% | 45.0% | $551MM | −$512MM | $39MM | 18.1% | — | 16.8% | $1.7B | $0.28 | — |
| 2026.Q1 | $22.5B | 64.7% | 9.2% | 45.0% | $1.1B | −$699MM | $440MM | 17.9% | — | 61.9% | $1.9B | $2.16 | 22.3 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 14.4% |
| 2027.Q1 | $30.1B | +33.8% | 9.2% | 42.5% | $1.6B | −$662MM | $930MM | 16.6% | $798MM | 70.4% | $2.6B | $2.15 | 29.0 |
| 2028.Q1 | $37.4B | +24.1% | 10.4% | 40.0% | $2.3B | −$628MM | $1.7B | 15.8% | $1.3B | 80.3% | $3.2B | $3.15 | 19.8 |
| 2029.Q1 | $44.6B | +19.4% | 11.6% | 37.5% | $3.2B | −$625MM | $2.6B | 15.0% | $1.7B | 91.7% | $3.8B | $4.38 | 14.2 |
| 2030.Q1 | $51.4B | +15.1% | 12.8% | 35.0% | $4.3B | −$752MM | $3.5B | 14.2% | $2.0B | 101.5% | $4.6B | $5.79 | 10.8 |
| 2031.Q1 | $58.7B | +14.2% | 15.3% | 32.5% | $6.0B | −$910MM | $5.1B | 13.4% | $2.5B | 119.5% | $5.5B | $8.16 | 7.6 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $90.1B | 4.1% | 15.3% | 20.0% | $11.0B | −$1.9B | $9.1B | 8.6% | $59.5B | 23.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $113 (+80.6% vs market)