Mulya.ai
Ticker
CVI
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.791
Beta (levered) ?1.191
Terminal OM% ?2.8%
Segment conc. ?94% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?CCC · 9.18%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 9.1%
Prob of failure ?20.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

CVI · CVR Energy, Inc.

$27.102026-07-21
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$3
-88.7% vs market
Base · active
$0
-99.9% vs market
Bear
$0
-112.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-3
Base $0
Bull $3
Market $27
Median $33
Market Price $27
Mulya.ai Base $0
Analysts Median $33
Mulya.ai IV range ($-3 · $3)
Analysts Range ($30 · $35)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$9.2B12.1%19.1%$909MM−$221MM$688MM7.1%50.5%$1.8B$7.65
2024.Q4$9.2B0.0%12.1%0.0%$2.7B$189MM$2.9B15.6%159.8%$1.6B$7.65
2025.Q1$7.6B-17.7%0.8%38.4%$36MM$131MM$167MM10.8%2.1%$1.8B$0.07
2025.Q4$7.6B0.0%0.8%0.0%$65MM−$334MM−$269MM11.1%3.5%$2.0B$0.07
2026.Q1$7.5B-1.5%-0.6%22.2%−$33MM−$238MM−$271MM10.7%-1.8%$1.8B$-0.42
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.9%
2027.Q1$8.0B+7.3%-0.6%22.0%−$36MM−$19MM−$55MM10.7%−$49MM-2.0%$1.8B$-0.36
2028.Q1$8.6B+6.9%0.1%21.8%$7MM−$27MM−$20MM10.5%−$16MM0.4%$1.8B$0.07387.1
2029.Q1$9.2B+6.6%0.8%21.6%$56MM−$45MM$11MM10.3%$8MM3.0%$1.9B$0.5648.4
2030.Q1$9.9B+8.0%1.5%21.3%$113MM−$265MM−$151MM10.1%−$102MM5.6%$2.2B$1.1324.0
2031.Q1$10.5B+5.9%2.8%21.1%$232MM−$201MM$31MM9.9%$19MM10.3%$2.4B$2.3111.7
Term. Yr+$13.8B4.1%2.8%20.0%$310MM−$140MM$170MM8.6%$1.5B9.1%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-99.9% vs market)