Mulya.ai
Ticker
CVI
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.934
Beta (levered) ?1.520
Terminal OM% ?2.8%
Segment conc. ?94% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?B · 4.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

CVI · CVR Energy, Inc.

$31.652026-05-17
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$20
-37.2% vs market
Base · active
$2
-94.3% vs market
Bear
$3
-90.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Base $2
Bear $3
Bull $20
Median $26
Market $32
Market Price $32
Mulya.ai Base $2
Analysts Median $26
Mulya.ai IV range ($3 · $20)
Analysts Range ($25 · $26)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$7.2B1.2%0.0%$98MM$82MM$180MM10.3%5.8%$1.7B$0.25
2022.Q4$10.9B50.5%8.8%19.7%$773MM−$24MM$749MM8.8%47.5%$1.6B$4.61
2023.Q4$9.2B-15.1%12.1%19.0%$910MM−$247MM$663MM8.4%45.3%$2.4B$7.65
2024.Q4$7.6B-17.7%0.8%0.0%$140MM$189MM$329MM15.6%7.0%$1.6B$0.07
2025.Q4$7.2B-5.9%2.0%0.0%$163MM−$334MM−$171MM11.1%9.1%$2.0B$0.2721.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.6%
2026.Q4$7.2B+0.6%2.0%2.0%$143MM−$98MM$45MM9.8%$41MM7.0%$2.1B$1.4222.3
2027.Q4$7.3B+1.0%2.2%4.0%$153MM−$47MM$105MM9.7%$87MM7.2%$2.1B$1.5220.8
2028.Q4$7.4B+1.4%2.3%6.0%$162MM−$39MM$123MM9.6%$93MM7.5%$2.2B$1.6119.7
2029.Q4$8.4B+13.8%2.5%8.0%$192MM−$599MM−$406MM9.4%−$281MM7.8%$2.8B$1.9216.5
2030.Q4$8.6B+2.9%2.8%10.0%$219MM−$121MM$97MM9.3%$61MM7.7%$2.9B$2.1714.6
Term. Yr+$10.6B4.1%2.8%20.0%$238MM−$113MM$124MM8.6%$1.1B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $2 (-94.3% vs market)