Mulya.ai
Ticker
CSX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.263
Beta (levered) ?1.501
Terminal OM% ?32.9%
Segment conc. ?diversified
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A · 1.20%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

CSX · CSX Corporation

$41.222026-05-17
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Railroads; Sub-Industry: Rail Transportation

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$41
-1.5% vs market
Base · active
$23
-45.3% vs market
Bear
$15
-63.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $15
Base $23
Median $40
Bull $41
Market $41
Market Price $41
Mulya.ai Base $23
Analysts Median $40
Mulya.ai IV range ($15 · $41)
Analysts Range ($30 · $45)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$12.5B41.2%23.6%$3.9B−$442MM$3.5B8.8%14.3%$27.6B$2.03
2022.Q4$14.9B18.6%40.1%23.1%$4.6B−$769MM$3.8B9.4%16.3%$28.6B$2.21
2023.Q4$14.7B-1.3%37.3%24.0%$4.2B−$451MM$3.7B9.0%14.4%$29.1B$1.97
2024.Q4$14.5B-0.8%36.9%23.8%$4.1B−$824MM$3.3B9.6%13.8%$30.0B$1.86
2025.Q4$14.1B-3.1%32.1%23.3%$3.5B$1.2B$4.7B9.7%11.3%$31.4B$1.5517.0
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.4%
2026.Q4$14.5B+2.8%32.0%23.0%$3.6B−$720MM$2.8B9.6%$2.6B11.3%$32.1B$1.9121.6
2027.Q4$15.2B+4.6%32.0%22.7%$3.8B−$1.3B$2.5B9.5%$2.0B11.5%$33.4B$2.0120.5
2028.Q4$15.8B+4.5%32.0%22.3%$3.9B−$1.4B$2.5B9.4%$1.9B11.6%$34.8B$2.1119.5
2029.Q4$16.7B+5.7%32.0%22.0%$4.2B$0MM$4.2B9.3%$2.9B12.0%$34.8B$2.2418.4
2030.Q4$17.6B+5.0%32.0%21.7%$4.4B$0MM$4.4B9.2%$2.8B12.7%$34.8B$2.3617.5
Term. Yr+$22.5B4.1%32.9%20.0%$5.9B−$1.9B$4.1B8.6%$37.6B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $23 (-45.3% vs market)