Mulya.ai
Ticker
CSX
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.222
Beta (levered) ?1.422
Terminal OM% ?32.9%
Segment conc. ?diversified
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A+ · 1.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 3 · 10.2%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

CSX · CSX Corporation

$47.662026-07-21
Sector: Industrials; Industry: Railroads; Sub-Industry: Rail Transportation

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$38
-20.4% vs market
Base · active
$19
-61.1% vs market
Bear
$15
-68.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $15
Base $19
Bull $38
Median $47
Market $48
Market Price $48
Mulya.ai Base $19
Analysts Median $47
Mulya.ai IV range ($15 · $38)
Analysts Range ($36 · $55)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$14.7B37.3%24.1%$4.1B−$628MM$3.5B9.3%14.0%$29.6B$1.97
2024.Q4$14.7B0.0%37.3%23.8%$4.2B−$824MM$3.3B9.6%14.0%$30.0B$1.97
2025.Q1$14.5B-0.8%36.9%23.8%$4.1B−$589MM$3.5B9.9%13.6%$30.1B$1.86
2025.Q4$14.5B0.0%36.9%23.3%$4.1B$1.2B$5.3B9.7%13.4%$31.4B$1.86
2026.Q1$14.2B-2.7%33.4%23.3%$3.6B$1.3B$5.0B9.7%11.6%$31.3B$1.6418.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.6%
2027.Q1$15.0B+6.0%32.0%22.9%$3.7B−$720MM$3.0B9.4%$2.7B11.7%$32.1B$1.9923.9
2028.Q1$15.6B+4.3%32.0%22.6%$3.9B−$683MM$3.2B9.4%$2.7B11.9%$32.7B$2.0822.9
2029.Q1$16.3B+4.2%32.0%22.3%$4.1B−$957MM$3.1B9.3%$2.4B12.2%$33.7B$2.1821.9
2030.Q1$17.2B+5.6%32.0%21.9%$4.3B$0MM$4.3B9.2%$3.0B12.8%$33.7B$2.3120.6
2031.Q1$18.0B+4.8%32.0%21.6%$4.5B$0MM$4.5B9.1%$2.9B13.4%$33.7B$2.4319.6
Term. Yr+$23.0B4.1%32.9%20.0%$6.1B−$2.4B$3.6B8.6%$33.7B10.2%
Active scenario IV: $19 (-61.1% vs market)