Mulya.ai
Ticker
COST
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.0%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.868
Beta (levered) ?0.877
Terminal OM% ?4.9%
Segment conc. ?40% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

COST · Costco Wholesale Corporation

$952.542026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Discount Stores; Sub-Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$616
-35.4% vs market
Base · active
$586
-38.5% vs market
Bear
$433
-54.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $433
Base $586
Bull $616
Market $953
Median $1100
Market Price $953
Mulya.ai Base $586
Analysts Median $1100
Mulya.ai IV range ($433 · $616)
Analysts Range ($1000 · $1275)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q3$242.3B3.3%25.2%$6.1B−$924MM$5.1B7.8%35.3%$17.2B$14.16
2025.Q2$254.5B5.0%3.6%24.7%$7.0B−$1.8B$5.2B9.1%39.5%$18.2B$16.58
2025.Q3$254.5B0.0%3.6%24.7%$7.0B−$1.7B$5.3B8.3%38.5%$18.2B$16.58
2026.Q2$275.2B8.2%3.8%25.0%$7.8B−$2.3B$5.5B8.7%41.2%$19.6B$18.22
2026.Q3$293.6B6.7%3.8%24.8%$8.4B−$2.8B$5.7B8.1%43.4%$19.3B$19.8937.7
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.9%
2027.Q3$320.7B+9.2%3.8%24.3%$9.2B−$3.0B$6.2B8.0%$5.7B44.1%$22.3B$20.6346.2
2028.Q3$345.0B+7.6%3.8%23.8%$9.9B−$2.2B$7.7B8.1%$6.6B42.5%$24.5B$22.3442.6
2029.Q3$367.6B+6.5%3.8%23.4%$10.6B−$1.7B$8.9B8.2%$7.1B42.0%$26.2B$23.9539.8
2030.Q3$389.2B+5.9%3.8%22.9%$11.3B−$1.9B$9.4B8.2%$6.9B41.8%$28.1B$25.5237.3
2031.Q3$411.7B+5.8%3.8%22.4%$12.1B−$2.0B$10.1B8.3%$6.8B41.5%$30.1B$27.1635.1
Term. Yr+$541.1B4.1%4.9%20.0%$21.1B−$3.7B$17.5B8.6%$174.9B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $586 (-38.5% vs market)