Mulya.ai
Ticker
COST
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?8.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.978
Beta (levered) ?0.987
Terminal OM% ?4.9%
Segment conc. ?40% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

COST · Costco Wholesale Corporation

$1014.962026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Discount Stores; Sub-Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$584
-42.5% vs market
Base · active
$543
-46.5% vs market
Bear
$527
-48.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $527
Base $543
Bull $584
Market $1015
Median $1100
Market Price $1015
Mulya.ai Base $543
Analysts Median $1100
Mulya.ai IV range ($527 · $584)
Analysts Range ($769 · $1175)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q2$195.9B3.4%24.8%$5.0B−$845MM$4.2B6.0%36.6%$13.8B$11.26
2023.Q2$227.0B15.8%3.4%24.9%$5.9B−$2.7B$3.1B8.1%39.7%$15.7B$13.15
2024.Q2$242.3B6.8%3.3%25.2%$6.1B−$2.1B$4.0B8.0%36.7%$17.4B$14.15
2025.Q2$254.5B5.0%3.6%24.7%$7.0B−$1.8B$5.2B9.1%39.3%$18.2B$16.57
2026.Q2$286.3B12.5%3.8%25.0%$8.2B−$2.3B$5.9B8.7%43.5%$19.6B$19.2341.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.6%
2027.Q2$309.9B+8.3%3.8%24.5%$8.8B−$3.1B$5.7B8.5%$5.3B41.8%$22.7B$19.8951.0
2028.Q2$333.6B+7.7%3.8%24.0%$9.6B−$2.4B$7.2B8.5%$6.1B40.1%$25.1B$21.5647.1
2029.Q2$356.1B+6.7%3.8%23.5%$10.3B−$1.8B$8.5B8.5%$6.6B39.6%$26.9B$23.1643.8
2030.Q2$375.6B+5.5%3.8%23.0%$10.9B−$1.7B$9.3B8.5%$6.7B39.4%$28.6B$24.5941.3
2031.Q2$394.6B+5.1%3.8%22.5%$11.6B−$1.6B$9.9B8.5%$6.6B39.3%$30.2B$26.0039.0
Term. Yr+$511.6B4.1%4.9%20.0%$20.0B−$3.5B$16.5B8.6%$161.6B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $543 (-46.5% vs market)