COP · ConocoPhillips
$130.522026-05-17Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$584
+347.4% vs market
Base · active
$135
+3.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($139 · $584) Analysts Range ($98 · $133) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $46.1B | — | 26.9% | 36.4% | $7.9B | −$2.5B | $5.3B | 3.1% | — | 13.6% | $57.8B | $6.75 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $78.6B | 70.6% | 32.6% | 33.8% | $17.0B | −$520MM | $16.4B | 5.1% | — | 30.2% | $54.5B | $15.56 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $56.1B | -28.6% | 26.8% | 32.7% | $10.1B | −$6.4B | $3.8B | 5.0% | — | 17.5% | $61.0B | $9.13 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $54.6B | -2.7% | 23.4% | 32.4% | $8.6B | −$5.4B | $3.3B | 5.6% | — | 12.0% | $82.7B | $7.70 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $58.8B | 7.6% | 19.7% | 36.9% | $7.3B | $10.0B | $17.3B | 5.3% | — | 8.9% | $81.0B | $6.66 | 13.5 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.5% |
| 2026.Q4 | $59.9B | +2.0% | 19.6% | 35.2% | $7.6B | −$3.6B | $4.0B | 5.7% | $3.8B | 9.2% | $84.5B | $6.38 | 20.5 |
| 2027.Q4 | $61.3B | +2.3% | 21.3% | 33.5% | $8.7B | −$3.0B | $5.7B | 6.0% | $5.1B | 10.1% | $87.6B | $7.26 | 18.0 |
| 2028.Q4 | $65.8B | +7.3% | 23.0% | 31.8% | $10.3B | −$7.5B | $2.8B | 6.3% | $2.3B | 11.3% | $95.1B | $8.61 | 15.2 |
| 2029.Q4 | $71.4B | +8.5% | 24.6% | 30.1% | $12.3B | $0MM | $12.3B | 6.5% | $9.7B | 12.9% | $95.1B | $10.27 | 12.7 |
| 2030.Q4 | $76.9B | +7.8% | 28.0% | 28.4% | $15.4B | $0MM | $15.4B | 6.8% | $11.4B | 16.2% | $95.1B | $12.87 | 10.1 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $105.0B | 4.1% | 28.0% | 20.0% | $23.5B | −$7.4B | $16.1B | 8.6% | $182.5B | 13.1% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $135 (+3.7% vs market)