Mulya.ai
Ticker
COP
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?5.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.310
Beta (levered) ?0.345
Terminal OM% ?28.0%
Segment conc. ?76% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 15.7%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

COP · ConocoPhillips

$105.962026-07-21
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Very High Uncertainty
Bull
$444
+319.4% vs market
Base · active
$298
+181.2% vs market
Bear
$77
-27.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $77
Market $106
Median $130
Base $298
Bull $444
Market Price $106
Mulya.ai Base $298
Analysts Median $130
Mulya.ai IV range ($77 · $444)
Analysts Range ($98 · $183)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$56.1B26.8%31.8%$10.2B−$6.1B$4.2B4.7%16.6%$61.7B$8.92
2024.Q4$56.1B0.0%26.8%32.4%$10.2B−$5.4B$4.8B5.6%14.1%$82.7B$8.92
2025.Q1$54.6B-2.6%23.4%33.4%$8.5B−$3.9B$4.6B4.9%10.4%$81.8B$7.53
2025.Q4$54.6B0.0%23.4%36.9%$8.1B$10.0B$18.1B5.3%9.9%$81.0B$7.53
2026.Q1$58.3B6.8%18.3%36.6%$6.8B$9.0B$15.7B4.7%8.3%$81.5B$5.9812.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 11.2%
2027.Q1$69.1B+18.6%18.3%35.0%$8.2B−$3.6B$4.6B5.8%$4.4B9.9%$85.1B$6.7115.8
2028.Q1$80.9B+17.0%20.2%33.3%$10.9B−$5.2B$5.7B6.1%$5.1B12.4%$90.3B$8.9011.9
2029.Q1$93.3B+15.4%22.2%31.6%$14.1B−$8.4B$5.7B6.4%$4.8B14.9%$98.7B$11.549.2
2030.Q1$106.1B+13.8%24.1%30.0%$17.9B$0MM$17.9B6.6%$14.1B18.1%$98.7B$14.627.2
2031.Q1$119.0B+12.1%28.0%28.3%$23.9B$0MM$23.9B6.9%$17.5B24.2%$98.7B$19.485.4
Term. Yr+$176.2B4.1%28.0%20.0%$39.4B−$10.3B$29.1B8.6%$326.9B15.7%
Active scenario IV: $298 (+181.2% vs market)