CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
$129.972026-05-17Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Agricultural Inputs; Sub-Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Bull
$387
+197.9% vs market
Base · active
$167
+28.1% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($167 · $387) Analysts Range ($72 · $103) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $6.5B | — | 32.7% | 18.3% | $1.7B | $814MM | $2.6B | 5.6% | — | 34.0% | $5.1B | $5.87 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $11.2B | 71.1% | 50.1% | 22.7% | $4.3B | −$512MM | $3.8B | 7.0% | — | 79.3% | $5.8B | $21.43 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $6.6B | -40.7% | 35.5% | 18.2% | $1.9B | $366MM | $2.3B | 6.8% | — | 30.7% | $6.7B | $9.77 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $5.9B | -10.5% | 29.4% | 16.2% | $1.5B | $491MM | $2.0B | 7.5% | — | 22.2% | $6.4B | $7.80 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $7.1B | 19.3% | 36.6% | 19.7% | $2.1B | −$149MM | $1.9B | 7.3% | — | 32.3% | $6.5B | $9.32 | 7.8 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 2.3% |
| 2026.Q4 | $7.1B | +0.5% | 33.9% | 19.7% | $1.9B | −$390MM | $1.5B | 7.3% | $1.4B | 29.0% | $6.9B | $12.40 | 10.5 |
| 2027.Q4 | $7.2B | +0.9% | 33.9% | 19.8% | $2.0B | −$148MM | $1.8B | 7.4% | $1.6B | 28.1% | $7.0B | $12.51 | 10.4 |
| 2028.Q4 | $7.3B | +1.3% | 33.9% | 19.8% | $2.0B | −$121MM | $1.9B | 7.6% | $1.5B | 27.9% | $7.2B | $12.66 | 10.3 |
| 2029.Q4 | $7.4B | +1.7% | 33.9% | 19.8% | $2.0B | −$405MM | $1.6B | 7.7% | $1.2B | 27.3% | $7.6B | $12.87 | 10.1 |
| 2030.Q4 | $7.6B | +2.1% | 33.9% | 19.9% | $2.1B | −$375MM | $1.7B | 7.8% | $1.2B | 26.5% | $7.9B | $13.14 | 9.9 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $9.2B | 4.1% | 26.4% | 20.0% | $1.9B | −$386MM | $1.6B | 8.6% | $16.2B | 20.7% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $167 (+28.1% vs market)