Mulya.ai
Ticker
CF
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?6.7%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.584
Beta (levered) ?0.679
Terminal OM% ?26.4%
Segment conc. ?33% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

$105.732026-07-21
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Agricultural Inputs; Sub-Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$406
+284.4% vs market
Base · active
$292
+176.4% vs market
Bear
$228
+115.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $106
Median $112
Bear $228
Base $292
Bull $406
Market Price $106
Mulya.ai Base $292
Analysts Median $112
Mulya.ai IV range ($228 · $406)
Analysts Range ($72 · $145)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$6.6B35.5%17.5%$1.9B$152MM$2.1B5.8%28.9%$6.7B$9.87
2024.Q4$6.6B0.0%35.5%16.2%$2.0B$491MM$2.5B7.5%30.1%$6.4B$9.87
2025.Q1$5.9B-10.5%29.4%16.3%$1.5B$456MM$1.9B6.0%22.7%$6.4B$7.88
2025.Q4$5.9B0.0%29.4%19.7%$1.4B−$149MM$1.3B7.3%21.7%$6.5B$7.88
2026.Q1$7.4B24.8%35.7%19.8%$2.1B−$450MM$1.7B5.8%32.3%$6.6B$11.386.2
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 7.6%
2027.Q1$8.2B+11.2%33.9%19.8%$2.2B−$627MM$1.6B6.9%$1.5B32.3%$7.3B$14.497.3
2028.Q1$9.1B+10.4%33.9%19.8%$2.5B−$683MM$1.8B7.1%$1.6B32.5%$7.9B$16.006.6
2029.Q1$10.0B+9.6%33.9%19.8%$2.7B−$737MM$2.0B7.2%$1.6B32.6%$8.7B$17.536.0
2030.Q1$10.8B+8.8%33.9%19.9%$2.9B−$355MM$2.6B7.4%$2.0B33.3%$9.0B$19.075.5
2031.Q1$11.7B+8.0%33.9%19.9%$3.2B−$391MM$2.8B7.6%$2.0B34.5%$9.4B$20.605.1
Term. Yr+$16.1B4.1%26.4%20.0%$3.4B−$589MM$2.8B8.6%$29.7B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $292 (+176.4% vs market)