Mulya.ai
Ticker
CCL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?12.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?2.015
Beta (levered) ?2.824
Terminal OM% ?16.5%
Segment conc. ?65% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A- · 1.45%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

$25.642026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Leisure; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$0
-183.6% vs market
Base · active
$0
-209.8% vs market
Bear
$0
-209.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-28
Base $-28
Bull $-21
Market $26
Median $37
Market Price $26
Mulya.ai Base $-28
Analysts Median $37
Mulya.ai IV range ($-28 · $-21)
Analysts Range ($33 · $40)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2022.Q1$1.9B-371.5%0.1%−$7.1B−$864MM−$7.9B13.3%-18.4%$38.4B$-6.83
2023.Q1$12.2B537.8%-36.0%0.0%−$4.4B$652MM−$3.7B15.1%-11.8%$36.0B$-4.38
2024.Q1$21.6B77.4%9.1%1.5%$1.9B$509MM$2.4B13.0%5.4%$35.3B$-0.05
2025.Q1$25.0B15.9%14.3%0.3%$3.6B−$777MM$2.8B13.5%10.1%$35.5B$1.38
2026.Q1$27.0B7.8%16.9%0.7%$4.5B−$743MM$3.8B13.0%12.4%$37.1B$2.227.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.1%
2027.Q1$28.1B+4.2%-19.5%2.6%−$5.3B−$720MM−$6.0B11.8%−$5.4B-14.2%$37.8B$-3.83
2028.Q1$29.3B+4.2%-21.8%4.6%−$6.1B−$911MM−$7.0B11.4%−$5.6B-15.9%$38.7B$-4.37
2029.Q1$30.5B+4.2%-25.7%6.5%−$7.3B−$1.2B−$8.5B11.1%−$6.2B-18.7%$39.9B$-5.27
2030.Q1$31.8B+4.2%-29.3%8.4%−$8.5B−$1.0B−$9.5B10.8%−$6.2B-21.1%$40.9B$-6.11
2031.Q1$33.1B+4.2%-29.3%10.3%−$8.7B−$1.2B−$9.8B10.5%−$5.8B-20.9%$42.1B$-6.23
Term. Yr+$42.1B4.1%16.5%20.0%$5.6B−$2.7B$2.9B8.6%$24.2B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-209.8% vs market)