Mulya.ai
Ticker
AWK
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.3%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.613
Beta (levered) ?0.902
Terminal OM% ?30.1%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BBB · 1.75%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

AWK · American Water Works Company, Inc.

$132.682026-07-21
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Regulated Water; Sub-Industry: Water Utilities

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$17
-86.9% vs market
Base · active
$0
-107.5% vs market
Bear
$0
-100.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $0
Base $-10
Bull $17
Median $131
Market $133
Market Price $133
Mulya.ai Base $-10
Analysts Median $131
Mulya.ai IV range ($0 · $17)
Analysts Range ($124 · $140)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$4.2B35.5%21.7%$1.2B−$2.2B−$981MM7.1%5.2%$22.5B$4.84
2024.Q4$4.2B0.0%35.5%22.7%$1.2B−$2.6B−$1.4B7.6%5.0%$24.3B$4.84
2025.Q1$4.7B10.6%36.7%22.8%$1.3B−$2.5B−$1.1B7.5%5.4%$24.9B$5.39
2025.Q4$4.7B0.0%36.7%21.9%$1.3B−$2.4B−$1.1B7.5%5.2%$26.5B$5.39
2026.Q1$5.2B11.1%36.5%21.9%$1.5B−$2.5B−$979MM7.4%5.6%$26.5B$5.6513.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6.7%
2027.Q1$5.4B+4.6%37.0%21.7%$1.6B−$678MM$901MM7.4%$839MM5.9%$27.2B$8.1016.4
2028.Q1$5.8B+6.5%37.0%21.5%$1.7B−$1.2B$512MM7.5%$444MM6.1%$28.4B$8.6515.3
2029.Q1$6.3B+8.4%37.0%21.3%$1.8B−$2.0B−$127MM7.6%−$102MM6.2%$30.3B$9.4014.1
2030.Q1$7.1B+13.2%37.0%21.1%$2.1B−$4.8B−$2.7B7.8%−$2.0B6.3%$35.2B$10.6612.4
2031.Q1$7.6B+7.3%37.0%20.9%$2.2B−$2.7B−$483MM7.9%−$334MM6.1%$37.9B$11.4611.6
Term. Yr+$10.3B4.1%30.1%20.0%$2.5B−$1.2B$1.3B8.6%$13.5B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-107.5% vs market)