Mulya.ai
Ticker
AWK
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.8%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.759
Beta (levered) ?1.107
Terminal OM% ?30.1%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?A- · 1.45%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

AWK · American Water Works Company, Inc.

$138.142026-05-17
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Regulated Water; Sub-Industry: Water Utilities

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$9
-93.1% vs market
Base · active
$0
-110.9% vs market
Bear
$0
-104.2% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-6
Base $-15
Bull $9
Market $138
Median $144
Market Price $138
Mulya.ai Base $-15
Analysts Median $144
Mulya.ai IV range ($-6 · $9)
Analysts Range ($122 · $149)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$3.9B30.4%23.0%$921MM−$814MM$107MM6.0%5.1%$18.2B$6.48
2022.Q4$3.8B-3.5%33.6%18.7%$1.0B−$1.9B−$848MM7.4%5.4%$20.0B$4.21
2023.Q4$4.2B11.7%35.5%21.1%$1.2B−$2.1B−$897MM7.0%5.7%$21.8B$4.84
2024.Q4$4.7B10.6%36.7%22.7%$1.3B−$2.6B−$1.2B7.6%5.8%$24.3B$5.39
2025.Q4$5.1B9.7%36.6%21.9%$1.5B−$2.4B−$935MM7.5%5.8%$26.5B$5.7014.3
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 6.6%
2026.Q4$5.4B+5.0%37.0%21.7%$1.6B−$866MM$699MM7.8%$648MM5.8%$27.4B$8.0317.2
2027.Q4$5.8B+7.3%37.0%21.5%$1.7B−$1.5B$178MM7.9%$153MM6.0%$28.9B$8.6416.0
2028.Q4$6.2B+6.8%37.0%21.3%$1.8B−$1.7B$85MM8.0%$67MM6.1%$30.6B$9.2415.0
2029.Q4$7.1B+14.3%37.0%21.1%$2.1B−$5.1B−$3.0B8.1%−$2.2B6.2%$35.7B$10.5913.0
2030.Q4$7.6B+7.0%37.0%20.9%$2.2B−$2.6B−$374MM8.1%−$255MM6.0%$38.3B$11.3612.2
Term. Yr+$10.2B4.1%30.1%20.0%$2.5B−$1.2B$1.3B8.6%$13.0B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-110.9% vs market)