AVB · AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
$166.022026-05-17Sector: Real Estate; Industry: REIT - Residential; Sub-Industry: Multi-Family Residential REITs
Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai
Base · active
$0
-115.6% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Mulya.ai IV range ($-23 · $-37) Analysts Range ($172 · $217) Fundamentals · historical + forward · baseitalics = DCF projection
| Period | Revenue | Rev Gr ? | Ops M% ? | Tax Rate ? | NOPAT ? | Reinvest ? | FCFF ? | WACC% ? | PV FCFF ? | ROIC ? | Inv. Cap ? | EPS ? | P/E |
|---|
| 2021.Q4 | $2.3B | — | 26.7% | 0.6% | $609MM | $223MM | $832MM | 6.5% | — | 3.3% | $18.6B | $7.07 | — |
| 2022.Q4 | $2.6B | 13.0% | 30.3% | 1.3% | $775MM | $640MM | $1.4B | 7.7% | — | 4.1% | $19.0B | $8.01 | — |
| 2023.Q4 | $2.8B | 6.7% | 32.0% | 1.1% | $877MM | $622MM | $1.5B | 7.4% | — | 4.6% | $19.4B | $6.54 | — |
| 2024.Q4 | $2.9B | 5.3% | 31.4% | 0.0% | $915MM | $641MM | $1.6B | 8.2% | — | 4.7% | $19.9B | $7.62 | — |
| 2025.Q4 | $3.0B | 4.3% | 30.1% | 0.0% | $915MM | $743MM | $1.7B | 8.1% | — | 4.5% | $20.8B | $7.41 | 25.8 |
| italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.6% |
| 2026.Q4 | $3.1B | +2.3% | 30.1% | 2.0% | $916MM | −$434MM | $482MM | 8.0% | $447MM | 4.4% | $21.2B | $6.45 | 25.7 |
| 2027.Q4 | $3.3B | +4.6% | 28.7% | 4.0% | $896MM | −$813MM | $82MM | 8.1% | $71MM | 4.2% | $22.0B | $6.31 | 26.3 |
| 2028.Q4 | $3.4B | +5.7% | 27.3% | 6.0% | $883MM | −$985MM | −$103MM | 8.1% | −$81MM | 3.9% | $23.0B | $6.22 | 26.7 |
| 2029.Q4 | $3.6B | +5.5% | 26.0% | 8.0% | $866MM | −$931MM | −$65MM | 8.2% | −$47MM | 3.7% | $23.9B | $6.10 | 27.2 |
| 2030.Q4 | $3.8B | +5.3% | 23.2% | 10.0% | $797MM | −$880MM | −$82MM | 8.2% | −$56MM | 3.3% | $24.8B | $5.62 | 29.5 |
|
| Term. Yr+ | $5.0B | 4.1% | 23.2% | 20.0% | $923MM | −$440MM | $483MM | 8.6% | $4.8B | 8.6% | — | — | — |
Active scenario IV: $0 (-115.6% vs market)