Mulya.ai
Ticker
APA
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.708
Beta (levered) ?0.840
Terminal OM% ?31.9%
Segment conc. ?50% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.72%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 18.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

APA · APA Corporation

$42.042026-05-17
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production; Sub-Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$146
+248.2% vs market
Base · active
$83
+96.3% vs market
Bear
$56
+33.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Median $26
Market $42
Bear $56
Base $83
Bull $146
Market Price $42
Mulya.ai Base $83
Analysts Median $26
Mulya.ai IV range ($56 · $146)
Analysts Range ($21 · $40)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$8.0B33.7%30.6%$1.9B−$1.0B$827MM5.3%32.7%$5.7B$3.20
2022.Q4$11.1B38.7%45.9%28.8%$3.6B−$2.8B$830MM6.7%62.9%$5.8B$10.35
2023.Q4$8.3B-25.2%40.6%0.0%$3.7B−$2.8B$962MM7.3%54.7%$7.9B$8.04
2024.Q4$9.7B17.6%32.9%27.2%$2.3B−$1.8B$512MM7.2%24.9%$10.8B$2.26
2025.Q4$8.9B-8.4%30.9%39.4%$1.7B$484MM$2.2B6.9%15.9%$10.1B$4.045.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 1.2%
2026.Q4$7.9B+-12.0%34.8%37.4%$1.7B$0MM$1.7B7.3%$1.6B16.9%$10.1B$4.818.7
2027.Q4$7.8B+-0.4%34.8%35.5%$1.8B$0MM$1.8B7.4%$1.5B17.3%$10.1B$4.948.5
2028.Q4$7.8B+0.1%34.8%33.6%$1.8B−$2MM$1.8B7.5%$1.5B17.8%$10.1B$5.108.2
2029.Q4$8.5B+9.1%34.8%31.6%$2.0B$0MM$2.0B7.7%$1.5B20.0%$10.1B$5.727.3
2030.Q4$8.6B+1.3%34.8%29.7%$2.1B$0MM$2.1B7.8%$1.5B20.9%$10.1B$5.967.1
Term. Yr+$10.4B4.1%31.9%20.0%$2.7B−$585MM$2.1B8.6%$21.6B18.6%
Active scenario IV: $83 (+96.3% vs market)