Mulya.ai
Ticker
AMZN
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredYes
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.4%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.444
Beta (levered) ?1.498
Terminal OM% ?20.0%
Segment conc. ?38% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.

$232.692026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Specialty Retail; Sub-Industry: Broadline Retail

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr) · Leases factored
Bull
$230
-1.3% vs market
Base · active
$225
-3.4% vs market
Bear
$162
-30.5% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $162
Base $225
Bull $230
Market $233
Median $319
Market Price $233
Mulya.ai Base $225
Analysts Median $319
Mulya.ai IV range ($162 · $230)
Analysts Range ($175 · $330)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$574.8B9.8%18.6%$45.6B−$81.8B−$36.2B10.2%10.2%$447.3B$2.80
2024.Q4$574.8B0.0%9.8%13.5%$48.5B−$117.6B−$69.1B10.6%10.3%$495.5B$2.80
2025.Q1$638.0B11.0%16.4%14.7%$89.0B−$158.1B−$69.0B10.9%16.9%$559.8B$5.45
2025.Q4$638.0B0.0%16.4%19.7%$83.8B−$185.1B−$101.4B10.7%13.9%$648.9B$5.45
2026.Q1$742.8B16.4%17.5%21.0%$102.7B−$248.8B−$146.1B10.5%14.4%$780.9B$8.3519.5
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 10.4%
2027.Q1$851.7B+14.7%17.0%20.9%$114.8B−$274.6B−$159.9B10.2%−$145.1B12.5%$1055.5B$6.9433.5
2028.Q1$966.1B+13.4%17.8%20.8%$136.2B−$196.8B−$60.7B10.0%−$50.0B11.8%$1252.4B$8.2328.3
2029.Q1$1096.1B+13.5%19.8%20.7%$172.4B−$169.6B$2.8B9.9%$2.1B12.9%$1422.0B$10.4222.3
2030.Q1$1227.9B+12.0%21.5%20.6%$210.0B−$196.8B$13.2B9.7%$9.0B13.8%$1618.8B$12.6918.3
2031.Q1$1384.9B+12.8%21.5%20.5%$237.2B−$221.1B$16.1B9.6%$10.0B13.7%$1839.9B$14.3416.2
Term. Yr+$2074.4B4.1%20.0%20.0%$332.6B−$104.1B$228.5B8.6%$2052.4B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $225 (-3.4% vs market)