Mulya.ai
Ticker
ALGN
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.5%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.436
Beta (levered) ?1.438
Terminal OM% ?19.9%
Segment conc. ?80% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 2 · 13.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

ALGN · Align Technology, Inc.

$170.602026-05-17
Sector: Healthcare; Industry: Medical - Devices; Sub-Industry: Health Care Supplies

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$214
+25.5% vs market
Base · active
$156
-8.7% vs market
Bear
$141
-17.4% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $141
Base $156
Market $171
Median $200
Bull $214
Market Price $171
Mulya.ai Base $156
Analysts Median $200
Mulya.ai IV range ($141 · $214)
Analysts Range ($140 · $220)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$4.0B29.9%23.7%$902MM−$225MM$677MM12.3%28.4%$3.2B$10.76
2022.Q4$3.7B-5.5%20.9%39.6%$470MM−$371MM$99MM12.2%14.1%$3.5B$5.04
2023.Q4$3.9B3.4%20.2%30.6%$541MM−$153MM$389MM11.7%15.1%$3.7B$6.20
2024.Q4$4.0B3.5%18.4%30.8%$510MM−$341MM$168MM12.3%13.5%$3.9B$5.87
2025.Q4$4.0B0.9%16.5%29.9%$467MM−$315MM$152MM12.6%11.8%$4.0B$5.7218.4
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.7%
2026.Q4$4.2B+3.8%18.6%28.9%$553MM−$391MM$162MM10.3%$147MM13.1%$4.4B$6.3626.8
2027.Q4$4.4B+4.5%19.0%27.9%$601MM−$317MM$283MM10.2%$233MM13.1%$4.7B$6.9124.7
2028.Q4$4.6B+5.8%20.4%26.9%$692MM−$318MM$374MM10.0%$279MM14.1%$5.1B$7.9621.4
2029.Q4$4.9B+5.7%20.4%25.9%$741MM−$404MM$337MM9.8%$229MM14.1%$5.5B$8.5220.0
2030.Q4$5.1B+5.0%20.4%24.9%$788MM−$354MM$434MM9.7%$270MM14.0%$5.8B$9.0618.8
Term. Yr+$6.6B4.1%19.9%20.0%$1.1B−$331MM$727MM8.6%$6.5B13.1%
Active scenario IV: $156 (-8.7% vs market)