Mulya.ai
Ticker
AES
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?9.9%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.941
Beta (levered) ?2.425
Terminal OM% ?18.6%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?B · 4.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

AES · The AES Corporation

$14.302026-05-17
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Diversified Utilities; Sub-Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$0
-97.1% vs market
Base · active
$0
-247.2% vs market
Bear
$0
-228.0% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-18
Base $-21
Bull $0
Market $14
Median $16
Market Price $14
Mulya.ai Base $-21
Analysts Median $16
Mulya.ai IV range ($-18 · $0)
Analysts Range ($15 · $23)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$11.1B22.9%12.2%$2.2B−$2.9B−$693MM7.4%11.0%$20.3B$-0.58
2022.Q4$12.6B13.2%18.6%0.0%$4.9B−$3.9B$1.0B14.4%22.3%$23.8B$-0.76
2023.Q4$12.7B0.5%17.8%45.0%$1.2B−$4.7B−$3.4B6.7%4.8%$27.5B$0.34
2024.Q4$12.3B-3.1%16.5%6.2%$1.9B−$4.6B−$2.7B10.6%6.5%$31.1B$2.36
2025.Q4$12.2B-0.4%15.0%45.0%$1.0B−$1.9B−$886MM7.3%3.1%$33.9B$1.265.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.3%
2026.Q4$12.4B+1.7%15.0%42.5%$1.1B−$1.5B−$415MM9.8%−$378MM3.1%$35.3B$1.509.5
2027.Q4$12.8B+2.9%15.7%40.0%$1.2B−$1.7B−$482MM9.6%−$401MM3.3%$37.0B$1.698.5
2028.Q4$13.2B+3.1%16.4%37.5%$1.4B−$1.4B−$7MM9.5%−$5MM3.6%$38.4B$1.907.5
2029.Q4$13.6B+3.2%17.2%35.0%$1.5B−$2.3B−$735MM9.4%−$510MM3.9%$40.7B$2.136.7
2030.Q4$14.1B+3.4%18.6%32.5%$1.8B−$2.1B−$315MM9.3%−$200MM4.2%$42.7B$2.485.8
Term. Yr+$17.7B4.1%18.6%20.0%$2.6B−$1.3B$1.4B8.6%$12.6B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-247.2% vs market)