Mulya.ai
Ticker
AES
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.4%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.946
Beta (levered) ?2.965
Terminal OM% ?18.6%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?B · 4.00%
ROIC option ?Opt 1 · 8.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

AES · The AES Corporation

$14.672026-07-21
Sector: Utilities; Industry: Independent Power Producers; Sub-Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$30
+102.7% vs market
Base · active
$0
-241.6% vs market
Bear
$0
-245.9% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $-21
Base $-21
Market $15
Median $16
Bull $30
Market Price $15
Mulya.ai Base $-21
Analysts Median $16
Mulya.ai IV range ($-21 · $30)
Analysts Range ($16 · $23)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$12.7B17.8%45.0%$1.2B−$5.8B−$4.6B9.2%4.1%$30.1B$0.34
2024.Q4$12.7B0.0%17.8%6.2%$2.1B−$4.6B−$2.4B10.6%6.9%$31.1B$0.34
2025.Q1$12.3B-3.1%16.5%14.4%$1.7B−$2.8B−$1.1B10.9%5.5%$32.2B$2.36
2025.Q4$12.3B0.0%16.5%45.0%$1.1B−$1.9B−$780MM7.3%3.4%$33.9B$2.36
2026.Q1$12.5B1.7%16.5%28.0%$1.5B−$2.3B−$837MM10.4%4.4%$33.8B$1.875.1
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.2%
2027.Q1$13.0B+4.2%16.5%27.2%$1.6B−$1.5B$73MM10.3%$66MM4.5%$35.3B$2.186.7
2028.Q1$13.6B+4.7%16.9%26.4%$1.7B−$1.7B−$28MM10.1%−$23MM4.7%$37.0B$2.376.2
2029.Q1$14.2B+4.3%17.3%25.6%$1.8B−$1.6B$209MM9.9%$157MM4.8%$38.6B$2.565.7
2030.Q1$14.8B+4.2%17.8%24.8%$2.0B−$2.1B−$107MM9.8%−$73MM5.0%$40.7B$2.775.3
2031.Q1$15.4B+4.2%18.6%24.0%$2.2B−$2.1B$65MM9.6%$40MM5.2%$42.8B$3.054.8
Term. Yr+$19.6B4.1%18.6%20.0%$2.9B−$1.4B$1.5B8.6%$13.7B8.6%
Active scenario IV: $0 (-241.6% vs market)