Mulya.ai
Ticker
ADM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr3
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.2%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.603
Beta (levered) ?0.735
Terminal OM% ?10.5%
Segment conc. ?77% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BB+ · 2.25%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

ADM · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

$76.792026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Agricultural Farm Products; Sub-Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$319
+315.9% vs market
Base · active
$259
+237.1% vs market
Bear
$138
+80.2% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Median $74
Market $77
Bear $138
Base $259
Bull $319
Market Price $77
Mulya.ai Base $259
Analysts Median $74
Mulya.ai IV range ($138 · $319)
Analysts Range ($58 · $95)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$93.9B4.3%20.3%$3.2B$1.2B$4.4B6.9%9.9%$32.7B$7.20
2024.Q4$93.9B0.0%4.3%21.1%$3.2B−$1.8B$1.4B7.4%9.9%$31.8B$7.20
2025.Q1$85.5B-8.9%2.4%21.6%$1.6B−$1.5B$102MM7.5%5.0%$32.6B$3.72
2025.Q4$85.5B0.0%2.4%14.5%$1.8B−$1.6B$144MM7.6%5.7%$30.1B$3.72
2026.Q1$80.6B-5.8%1.5%15.7%$1.0B−$217MM$816MM7.2%3.3%$31.8B$2.2330.3
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 4.9%
2027.Q1$87.5B+8.5%1.5%16.1%$1.1B−$1.3B−$141MM7.3%−$132MM3.4%$33.1B$2.3033.4
2028.Q1$91.8B+4.9%3.3%16.6%$2.5B−$956MM$1.6B7.4%$1.4B7.6%$34.0B$5.2514.6
2029.Q1$96.2B+4.8%5.1%17.0%$4.1B−$1.3B$2.8B7.6%$2.3B11.8%$35.3B$8.439.1
2030.Q1$100.7B+4.7%6.9%17.4%$5.7B−$934MM$4.8B7.7%$3.6B16.1%$36.2B$11.876.5
2031.Q1$105.4B+4.6%10.5%17.9%$9.1B−$1.0B$8.1B7.8%$5.6B24.8%$37.3B$18.784.1
Term. Yr+$135.4B4.1%10.5%20.0%$11.4B−$2.0B$9.4B8.6%$97.8B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $259 (+237.1% vs market)