Mulya.ai
Ticker
ADM
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analysttaper yr2
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?7.6%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.683
Beta (levered) ?0.821
Terminal OM% ?10.5%
Segment conc. ?77% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?BB · 2.75%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

ADM · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

$73.832026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Defensive; Industry: Agricultural Farm Products; Sub-Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$300
+306.9% vs market
Base · active
$271
+266.6% vs market
Bear
$142
+91.8% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Median $61
Market $74
Bear $142
Base $271
Bull $300
Market Price $74
Mulya.ai Base $271
Analysts Median $61
Mulya.ai IV range ($142 · $300)
Analysts Range ($50 · $68)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$85.2B3.5%17.4%$2.5B$1.2B$3.7B5.5%7.9%$31.4B$5.60
2022.Q4$101.6B19.1%4.1%16.6%$3.5B−$2.0B$1.5B6.9%11.0%$32.7B$8.97
2023.Q4$93.9B-7.5%4.3%19.3%$3.3B−$686MM$2.6B6.7%10.2%$31.4B$7.20
2024.Q4$85.5B-8.9%2.4%21.1%$1.6B−$1.8B−$153MM7.4%5.2%$31.8B$3.72
2025.Q4$80.3B-6.1%1.3%14.5%$911MM−$1.6B−$717MM7.6%2.9%$30.1B$2.2333.6
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 5.9%
2026.Q4$86.4B+7.7%1.3%15.1%$974MM−$1.6B−$658MM7.7%−$611MM3.1%$31.7B$2.0136.7
2027.Q4$92.7B+7.3%3.2%15.6%$2.5B−$1.8B$628MM7.8%$541MM7.6%$33.6B$5.1114.4
2028.Q4$99.1B+6.9%5.0%16.1%$4.2B−$2.1B$2.1B7.9%$1.6B12.0%$35.7B$8.588.6
2029.Q4$105.5B+6.5%6.8%16.7%$6.0B−$2.0B$4.0B8.0%$3.0B16.4%$37.7B$12.406.0
2030.Q4$111.9B+6.1%10.5%17.3%$9.7B−$2.1B$7.6B8.1%$5.2B25.1%$39.8B$20.093.7
Term. Yr+$147.9B4.1%10.5%20.0%$12.4B−$2.2B$10.3B8.6%$104.7B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $271 (+266.6% vs market)