Mulya.ai
Ticker
ACGL
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?Analyst
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedNo
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?5.8%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?0.365
Beta (levered) ?0.390
Terminal OM% ?21.0%
Segment conc. ?48% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 20.1%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

ACGL · Arch Capital Group Ltd.

$96.742026-05-17
Sector: Financial Services; Industry: Insurance - Diversified; Sub-Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

Bull
$391
+304.0% vs market
Base · active
$215
+122.0% vs market
Bear
$202
+108.7% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Market $97
Median $104
Bear $202
Base $215
Bull $391
Market Price $97
Mulya.ai Base $215
Analysts Median $104
Mulya.ai IV range ($202 · $391)
Analysts Range ($93 · $125)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$8.9B19.5%5.4%$1.6B$848MM$2.5B3.7%18.0%$9.1B$5.74
2022.Q4$9.7B8.2%14.2%5.1%$1.3B$2.9B$4.2B5.5%14.3%$9.1B$3.92
2023.Q4$13.3B37.7%23.4%0.0%$3.9B$1.2B$5.1B5.4%34.9%$13.0B$11.81
2024.Q4$17.4B31.2%25.7%7.7%$4.1B$2.9B$7.0B6.1%30.3%$14.2B$11.47
2025.Q4$19.9B14.3%25.0%14.7%$4.2B$3.1B$7.3B5.9%28.7%$15.4B$11.707.3
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 3.4%
2026.Q4$17.6B+-11.9%28.2%15.3%$4.2B$0MM$4.2B6.0%$4.0B27.2%$15.4B$11.148.7
2027.Q4$18.2B+3.5%29.6%15.8%$4.5B−$502MM$4.0B6.3%$3.6B29.0%$15.9B$12.068.0
2028.Q4$19.9B+9.4%29.6%16.3%$4.9B−$1.5B$3.5B6.5%$2.9B29.7%$17.4B$13.117.4
2029.Q4$21.2B+6.5%29.6%16.8%$5.2B−$1.2B$4.1B6.8%$3.2B29.1%$18.5B$13.887.0
2030.Q4$22.3B+5.4%29.6%17.4%$5.5B−$1.1B$4.4B7.0%$3.2B28.7%$19.6B$14.546.7
Term. Yr+$29.1B4.1%21.0%20.0%$4.9B−$996MM$3.9B8.6%$43.2B20.1%
Active scenario IV: $215 (+122.0% vs market)