Mulya.ai
Ticker
ABNB
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?avg_lt_ttm
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.354
Beta (levered) ?1.384
Terminal OM% ?21.0%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-05-17

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.

$124.952026-05-17
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Travel Services; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$116
-7.3% vs market
Base · active
$113
-9.7% vs market
Bear
$96
-23.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $96
Base $113
Bull $116
Market $125
Median $145
Market Price $125
Mulya.ai Base $113
Analysts Median $145
Mulya.ai IV range ($96 · $116)
Analysts Range ($107 · $170)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2021.Q4$6.0B10.0%0.0%$703MM$250MM$953MM8.4%33.8%$2.1B$-0.57
2022.Q4$8.4B40.2%30.0%4.8%$2.4B−$272MM$2.1B9.2%124.8%$1.8B$3.04
2023.Q4$9.9B18.1%21.4%0.0%$4.8B$560MM$5.4B8.9%155.2%$4.5B$7.69
2024.Q4$11.1B11.9%32.2%20.5%$2.8B−$887MM$2.0B9.5%59.7%$5.0B$4.25
2025.Q4$12.2B10.3%29.1%20.0%$2.8B−$1.1B$1.8B9.5%55.8%$5.2B$4.0321.9
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 7.8%
2026.Q4$13.7B+12.0%40.6%20.0%$4.5B−$635MM$3.8B10.0%$3.5B81.3%$5.8B$3.6634.1
2027.Q4$15.1B+10.0%36.7%20.0%$4.4B−$606MM$3.8B9.9%$3.2B72.5%$6.4B$3.8032.9
2028.Q4$16.6B+10.1%32.8%20.0%$4.4B−$690MM$3.7B9.7%$2.8B64.5%$7.1B$3.9431.7
2029.Q4$17.9B+8.1%28.9%20.0%$4.1B−$622MM$3.5B9.6%$2.4B55.9%$7.7B$4.0031.2
2030.Q4$19.5B+8.6%21.0%20.0%$3.3B−$735MM$2.5B9.4%$1.6B40.5%$8.5B$3.7733.1
Term. Yr+$27.0B4.1%21.0%20.0%$4.5B−$789MM$3.8B8.6%$34.1B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $113 (-9.7% vs market)