Mulya.ai
Ticker
ABNB
Scenario
Key Inputs
Revenue est.?Analyst
OP margin est.?hist_ind
Reinvestment est.?projected
R&D capitalizedYes · 5yr amort
Leases factoredNo
Key Assumptions
WACC ?10.1%
ERP ?4.5%
Risk-free rate ?4.1%
Beta (blended) ?1.353
Beta (levered) ?1.384
Terminal OM% ?19.9%
Segment conc. ?100% dominant
Terminal growth ?4.1%
Bond rating ?AAA · 0.60%
ROIC option ?Opt 4 · 23.6%
Prob of failure ?0.0%
Pipeline validated · 2026-07-21

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.

$145.562026-07-21
Sector: Consumer Cyclical; Industry: Travel Services; Sub-Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Intrinsic Value Range Comparison · Mulya.ai

R&D capitalized (5yr)
Bull
$115
-21.3% vs market
Base · active
$112
-23.2% vs market
Bear
$94
-35.3% vs market
Mulya.ai vs Analyst IV Comparison?
Bear $94
Base $112
Bull $115
Market $146
Median $159
Market Price $146
Mulya.ai Base $112
Analysts Median $159
Mulya.ai IV range ($94 · $115)
Analysts Range ($120 · $185)
Fundamentals · historical + forward · base
italics = DCF projection
PeriodRevenueRev Gr ?Ops M% ?Tax Rate ?NOPAT ?
Reinvest ?
FCFF ?WACC% ?PV FCFF ?ROIC ?Inv. Cap ?EPS ?P/E
2024.Q1$9.9B20.3%0.0%$4.4B$655MM$5.0B9.0%127.5%$3.4B$7.88
2024.Q4$9.9B0.0%20.3%20.5%$1.6B−$619MM$981MM9.5%40.6%$4.4B$7.88
2025.Q1$11.1B11.9%30.5%21.0%$2.7B−$892MM$1.8B9.6%63.5%$4.0B$4.36
2025.Q4$11.1B0.0%30.5%20.0%$2.7B−$790MM$1.9B9.5%62.3%$4.7B$4.36
2026.Q1$12.6B13.9%27.2%22.4%$2.7B−$1.2B$1.5B9.3%58.6%$4.4B$4.1425.8
italics below = DCF projection · 10yr Rev CAGR: 7.8%
2027.Q1$14.3B+13.0%36.0%22.2%$4.0B−$1.0B$3.0B10.0%$2.7B82.0%$5.4B$3.7538.8
2028.Q1$15.8B+10.7%32.8%21.9%$4.0B−$925MM$3.1B9.9%$2.6B69.1%$6.3B$3.9436.9
2029.Q1$17.5B+10.6%29.6%21.7%$4.0B−$991MM$3.1B9.7%$2.3B59.4%$7.3B$4.1235.3
2030.Q1$19.1B+9.4%26.4%21.5%$4.0B−$955MM$3.0B9.6%$2.1B50.9%$8.3B$4.2634.2
2031.Q1$20.5B+7.3%19.9%21.2%$3.2B−$794MM$2.4B9.4%$1.5B37.2%$9.1B$4.0036.4
Term. Yr+$27.8B4.1%19.9%20.0%$4.4B−$770MM$3.7B8.6%$33.2B23.6%
Active scenario IV: $112 (-23.2% vs market)